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OK0NAG > SOLAR    09.07.10 00:10l 228 Lines 7111 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: 8 Jul 2010 22:04:17 +0000
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity

:Issued: 2010 Jul 08 2200 UTC

# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,

# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.

#

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 189 Issued at 2200Z on 08 Jul 2010

IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  07/2100Z

to 08/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.  The SOHO/LASCO EIT

imagery observed a faint eruption along a filament channel

approaching the northwest limb.  A CME was observed on the C2

imagery following this event around 08/1630Z.  The CME is not

expected to be earth directed.  Several B-class flares were observed

during the last 24 hours which are associated with a loop structured

region approaching the northeast limb (old Region 1083 N19, L=331).

IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very

low with a slight chance for a C-class event.

IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 07/2100Z to 08/2100Z:

The geomagnetic field was quiet.  The greater than 2 MeV electron

flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels today.

IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is

expected to be mostly quiet with isolated unsettled levels for day

one (09 July) due to a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream. 

Quiet conditions are expected for days two and three (10-11 July).

III.  Event Probabilities 09 Jul-11 Jul

Class M    01/01/01

Class X    01/01/01

Proton     01/01/01

PCAF       Green

IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux

Observed           08 Jul 074

Predicted   09 Jul-11 Jul  076/078/078

90 Day Mean        08 Jul 074

V.  Geomagnetic A Indices

Observed Afr/Ap 07 Jul  002/003

Estimated Afr/Ap 08 Jul  002/002

Predicted Afr/Ap 09 Jul-11 Jul  005/006-005/005-005/005

VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 09 Jul-11 Jul

A.  Middle Latitudes

Active                05/05/05

Minor storm           01/01/01

Major-severe storm    01/01/01

B.  High Latitudes

Active                05/05/05

Minor storm           01/01/01

Major-severe storm    01/01/01



Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like 
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in 
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from 
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help, 
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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