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OK0NAG > SOLAR    19.07.10 00:10l 205 Lines 6203 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: 18 Jul 2010 22:00:32 +0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity

:Issued: 2010 Jul 18 2200 UTC

# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,

# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.

#

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 199 Issued at 2200Z on 18 Jul 2010

IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  17/2100Z

to 18/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.  Region 1087 (N24W48) has

a simple alpha magnetic classification.  A further analysis of the

SOHO/LASCO imagery from yesterday show a CME was observed on C3

imagery which can be correlated with the C2 x-ray flare at 17/1801Z.

This event does not seem to be Earth directed.

IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very

low with a slight chance for a C-class flare from Region 1087.

IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 17/2100Z to 18/2100Z:

The geomagnetic field was quiet.

IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is

expected to be at quiet levels for the next three days (19-21 July).

III.  Event Probabilities 19 Jul-21 Jul

Class M    01/01/01

Class X    01/01/01

Proton     01/01/01

PCAF       Green

IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux

Observed           18 Jul 077

Predicted   19 Jul-21 Jul  075/074/074

90 Day Mean        18 Jul 074

V.  Geomagnetic A Indices

Observed Afr/Ap 17 Jul  001/002

Estimated Afr/Ap 18 Jul  001/003

Predicted Afr/Ap 19 Jul-21 Jul  005/005-005/005-005/005

VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 19 Jul-21 Jul

A.  Middle Latitudes

Active                05/05/05

Minor storm           01/01/01

Major-severe storm    01/01/01

B.  High Latitudes

Active                05/05/05

Minor storm           01/01/01

Major-severe storm    01/01/01



Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like 
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in 
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from 
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help, 
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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