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OK0NAG > SOLAR    31.07.10 00:11l 219 Lines 6680 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: 30 Jul 2010 22:04:04 +0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity

:Issued: 2010 Jul 30 2200 UTC

# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,

# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.

#

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 211 Issued at 2200Z on 30 Jul 2010

IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  29/2100Z

to 30/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. Region (1092) produced a

few B-class x-ray flares. The largest of these was a B9 at 30/0221Z

associated with a limb event CME visible off the northeast limb on

LASCO C3 imagery as well as STEREO A and B coronagraphs.

IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is forecast to be very

low to low with a chance for a C-class flare for the next 3 days (31

July-02 August).

IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 29/2100Z to 30/2100Z:

The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet with an isolated period of

unsettled conditions between 15-18Z. The greater than 2 MeV electron

flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the past 24

hours.

IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is

forecast to be mostly quiet with a few isolated periods of unsettled

conditions for the next 3 days (31 July-02 August).

III.  Event Probabilities 31 Jul-02 Aug

Class M    05/05/05

Class X    01/01/01

Proton     01/01/01

PCAF       Green

IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux

Observed           30 Jul 085

Predicted   31 Jul-02 Aug  085/085/085

90 Day Mean        30 Jul 075

V.  Geomagnetic A Indices

Observed Afr/Ap 29 Jul  005/007

Estimated Afr/Ap 30 Jul  005/007

Predicted Afr/Ap 31 Jul-02 Aug  005/006-005/006-005/006

VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 31 Jul-02 Aug

A.  Middle Latitudes

Active                30/30/30

Minor storm           05/05/05

Major-severe storm    01/01/01

B.  High Latitudes

Active                40/40/40

Minor storm           10/10/10

Major-severe storm    01/01/01



Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like 
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in 
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from 
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help, 
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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