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OK0NAG > SOLAR    17.02.11 15:47l 106 Lines 4011 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: GEOALERT SIDC
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2011 Feb 17 1343 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/xut
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#

# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium)                       #

#--------------------------------------------------------------------#


GEOALERT BRU048
UGEOA 30512 10217 1327/ 9930/
12172 22172 30172
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 17 Feb 2011 until 19 Feb 
2011
PREDICTIONS FOR 17 Feb 2011  10CM FLUX: 113 / AP: 005
PREDICTIONS FOR 18 Feb 2011  10CM FLUX: 112 / AP: 034
PREDICTIONS FOR 19 Feb 2011  10CM FLUX: 111 / AP: 028
COMMENT: NOAA AR 1158 produced several C flares and an M1.6 flare
peaking at 14:25 UT. It was associated with a type II radio burst
detected at the Humain radio site. NOAA AR 1158 seems to have stabilized

in growth and complexity, but has still high potential for strong
flares. A very faint eruption is seen in COR-2 from STEREO-A and
STEREO-B, starting at 02:39 UT. There seems to be an Earth directed
component, but it is very faint (and there is a data gap in SOHO and
STEREO-A). Geomagnetic conditions are quiet but they are expected to
increase to active and even storm levels when the expected ICME from the

15th arrives to the Earth later today or probably tomorrow.

TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN  : 038, BASED ON 10 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 10217 1327/ 16///
1//// 21141 3004/ 4//// 8//// 9////
99999

NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX  END  LOC    XRAY OP  10CM RADIO BURST TYPES     Catania 
NOAA NOTE
16  1419  1425 1429 S20W32 M1.6 1F   330 VI/2,III/2,II/3               
 10 1158                     
END

UGEOR 30512 10217 1327/ 17/08 17102
10010 2//// 3//// 4522/ 50280 60024 34419 29640
10014 2//// 3//// 4522/ 50160 60022 12112 04200
99999
USSPS 32404 16098 06022 18001 46219 01202 21036 32921 37519 23012 
13413 24409 
USSPS 21305 16159 06232 21004 46718 01202 23065 33520 57518 25028 
13013 44412 
USSPS 31405 17086 06632 10028 34419 24524 14016 12112 24522 
UMAGF 30503 10217 1004/ 16060 1/005 21110 31100 
UMAGF 31523 10217 ///// 1600/ 1/004 21212 31011 
 
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#

# Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium                #

# Royal Observatory of Belgium                                       #

# Fax : 32 (0) 2 373 0 224                                           #

# Tel.: 32 (0) 2 373 0 491                                           #

#                                                                    #

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