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OK0NAG > SOLAR    17.03.11 14:35l 111 Lines 4135 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: GEOALERT SIDC
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2011 Mar 17 1230 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/xut
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#

# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium)                       #

#--------------------------------------------------------------------#


GEOALERT BRU076
UGEOA 30512 10317 1209/ 9930/
11172 20172 38172
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 17 Mar 2011 until 19 Mar 
2011
PREDICTIONS FOR 17 Mar 2011  10CM FLUX: 092 / AP: 003
PREDICTIONS FOR 18 Mar 2011  10CM FLUX: 089 / AP: 003
PREDICTIONS FOR 19 Mar 2011  10CM FLUX: 087 / AP: 003
COMMENT: Catania sunspot group 26 (NOAA AR 1169) produced a C3.7 flare

peaking at 20:34 UT yesterday. The associated CME (first seen in the
SOHO/LASCO C2 field of view at 19:12 UT) was not directed towards the
Earth. As the Catania sunspot group 29 maintains beta-gamma
configuration of its photospheric magnetic field, an M-flare is still
not excluded in this active region (although it is unlikely). Due to the

position of the Catania sunspot group 26 close to the west solar limb, 
a
strong CME originating in it may lead to an energetic particle event at

the Earth. Catania sunspot group 29 (NOAA AR 1173) continues to grow and

may produce flaring activity at the C-level. The Earth is currently
inside a slow (around 400 km/s) solar wind flow with a slightly elevated

(8-9 nT) interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) magnitude. As the IMF is
steadily directed northward, we expect quiet geomagnetic conditions.

TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN  : 028, BASED ON 02 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 10317 1209/ 16///
10023 20950 3002/ 4//// 80102 90100
99999

NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX  END  LOC    XRAY OP  10CM RADIO BURST TYPES     Catania 
NOAA NOTE
NONE
END

UGEOR 30512 10317 1209/ 16/09 17102
10026 2//// 3//// 4421/ 50080 60002 46919 17100
10029 2//// 3//// 472// 50020 60001 24428 15000
99999
USSPS 32404 16138 03322 30015 47018 24407 34005 24430 24406 
USSPS 21305 16149 03842 35019 47316 31407 39004 24528 21311 
USSPS 81202 17013 04632 31005 23928 31311 32001 42322 01202 27014 
47818 21303 
UMAGF 30503 10317 1004/ 16063 1/006 21111 30111 
UMAGF 31523 10317 ///// 1600/ 1/002 20011 31001 
 
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#

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