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OK0NAG > SOLAR    22.09.11 15:04l 126 Lines 4740 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: GEOALERT SIDC
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2011 Sep 22 1259 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/xut
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#

# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium)                       #

#--------------------------------------------------------------------#


GEOALERT BRU265
UGEOA 30512 10922 1240/ 9930/
12222 20222 30222
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 22 Sep 2011 until 24 Sep 
2011
PREDICTIONS FOR 22 Sep 2011  10CM FLUX: 144 / AP: 005
PREDICTIONS FOR 23 Sep 2011  10CM FLUX: 144 / AP: 011
PREDICTIONS FOR 24 Sep 2011  10CM FLUX: 144 / AP: 007
COMMENT: An X1.4 flare with peak time 11:00 UT occurred in newly
numbered region Catania 82, which is currently turning over the east
limb of the Sun. Humain radio data show type II shock signatures around

10h40 indicating an associated CME. Due to the location of the source
region and coronagraph images from STEREO-B suggesting a halo CME, we do

not expect this CME to have strong geomagnetic effects. Numerous other

C-flares were observed yesterday and today, mainly in Catania regions
72, 80 and 82 (resp. NOAA 1295, 1301 and not numbered yet). Two M flares

occurred in Catania region 82: an M1.8 flare, peaking yesterday at 12:23

UT, and an M1.1 flare today with peak time 10:00 UT. Coronograh images

from SOHO/LASCO and STEREO/COR2 show several CMEs of which none was
earth-directed.

Geomagnetic conditions are quiet and are expected to remain so, with
possibly some periods of unsettled conditions due to a coronal hole wind

stream.



TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN  : 068, BASED ON 11 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 10922 1240/ 21///
10110 21440 3004/ 4//// 80106 90410
99999

NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX  END  LOC    XRAY OP  10CM RADIO BURST TYPES     Catania 
NOAA NOTE
21  1204  1223 1245        M1.8          VI/1                          
 82                          
END

UGEOR 30512 10922 1240/ 22/06 22106
10072 2//// 3//// 4532/ 50180 60032 45123 19000
10074 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50010 60002 43417 00000
10077 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50010 60002 35618 00000
10080 2//// 3//// 4522/ 50110 60012 13620 19000
10081 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60001 21515 00000
10082 2//// 3//// 475// 50080 60002 17812 29620
99999
USSPS 32404 21104 09522 76029 43922 27524 78002 42126 11304 82002 
34621 11305 83003 47924 2/801 84013 14921 21511 
USSPS 21305 21155 06742 89048 44423 57319 91001 42626 0/101 94002 
34920 01202 97028 14521 51405 
USSPS 81202 22127 09822 76021 18010 3/801 75008 14018 21511 77001 
21817 0/101 73002 35418 01202 69001 42926 0/101 68028 44823 57522 
USSPS 31405 22060 11142 72018 45123 35532 74001 43417 01202 77001 
35618 01202 80011 13620 25512 81001 21515 0/101 82008 17812 5/802 
UMAGF 30503 10922 1004/ 21069 1/009 21221 31210 
UMAGF 31523 10922 ///// 2100/ 1/004 20012 32212 
 
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