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OK0NAG > SOLAR    28.09.11 15:14l 119 Lines 4195 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: GEOALERT SIDC
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2011 Sep 28 1310 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/xut
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#

# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium)                       #

#--------------------------------------------------------------------#


GEOALERT BRU271
UGEOA 30512 10928 1237/ 9930/
12282 22282 30282
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 28 Sep 2011 until 30 Sep 
2011
PREDICTIONS FOR 28 Sep 2011  10CM FLUX: 139 / AP: 028
PREDICTIONS FOR 29 Sep 2011  10CM FLUX: 135 / AP: 018
PREDICTIONS FOR 30 Sep 2011  10CM FLUX: 131 / AP: 007
COMMENT: Solar activity has become low, with only C flares from active

region Catania#82 (NOAA1302), which is now passing central meridian.
This active region is stable and can still produce M-class flares, with

a slight chance of an X flare. The geomagnetic activity is currently at

unsettled to active levels in the wake of yesterday's CME disturbance.

Later today Sept.28 (UT), there is a chance for another CME reaching the

Earth (event associated with an M flare early on Sept.25). This would be

a glancing event with lower impact than the previous CME of Sept.26. We

thus predict a possible active to minor geo-storm period over the next

12 hours, followed by a return to quiet to unsettled conditions.

TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN  : 069, BASED ON 15 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 10928 1237/ 27///
1//// 21390 3028/ 4//// 8//// 9////
99999

NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX  END  LOC    XRAY OP  10CM RADIO BURST TYPES     Catania 
NOAA NOTE
NONE
END

UGEOR 30512 10928 1237/ 26/07 28106
10080 2//// 3//// 4622/ 50080 60022 41620 01000
10082 2//// 3//// 4643/ 50880 60042 13113 28521
10083 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60002 37929 00000
10084 2//// 3//// 4422/ 50060 60010 10312 02000
10085 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50050 60003 16412 01000
10086 2//// 3//// 472// 50010 60001 18213 00000
99999
UMAGF 30503 10928 1004/ 27063 1/037 23232 33544 
UMAGF 31523 10928 ///// 2700/ 1/028 25443 34335 
INDAA 10912
1/046 02404 70470 33047 08106 7/049
2/046 06004 60390 16005 01201 2/030
3/008 00500 80120 08008 00801 2/009
4/009 01200 80080 12016 01201 2/011
5/002 00200 50080 05008 00500 5/005
6/005 02506 01040 81104 04603 8/058
7/012 01200 20160 16008 00501 6/011
END
 
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#

# Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium                #

# Royal Observatory of Belgium                                       #

# Fax : 32 (0) 2 373 0 224                                           #

# Tel.: 32 (0) 2 373 0 491                                           #

#                                                                    #

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